Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 312.701159 355.700538 404.089521 462.896423 532.858844 613.961517 715.865551
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 242.841739 296.236349 361.958270 449.990161 566.653093 718.630631 936.139879
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 214.649947 274.263447 352.208162 463.932865 623.987154 851.584337 1212.450633
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 191.232544 253.133095 337.931641 466.175190 661.897205 961.416716 1480.592954
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 170.174616 231.611455 318.951253 456.900326 678.759099 1040.123501 1717.470491
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 156.062087 217.799150 308.573117 457.819937 709.997613 1146.207021 2029.975305
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 141.793103 201.964307 292.912168 447.520053 719.894313 1216.155633 2293.525509
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 131.514784 190.975951 283.244769 445.231140 742.520042 1313.019666 2642.585639
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 118.796903 174.959915 263.811420 423.576379 725.963379 1329.778251 2817.558258
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 115.432088 173.396688 267.627702 442.939193 789.848218 1524.270804 3492.641719
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 113.443212 173.799547 274.635549 468.853287 871.279891 1777.594236 4440.805259
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 107.620926 167.269211 268.942218 469.884890 900.963967 1919.169000 5138.190191
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 99.860751 157.024844 256.065114 455.984941 897.410349 1982.782288 5638.335649
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 93.051460 147.951499 244.566521 443.611890 895.644572 2052.206276 6205.908512
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 90.378815 145.899081 245.723400 457.280264 957.070616 2310.602464 7653.709388
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 86.488957 141.350360 241.731166 459.484455 991.157065 2502.435621 8986.263756
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 81.617199 134.661862 233.042556 450.375808 995.010754 2604.404405 10000.317440
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 78.287698 130.576723 229.072858 451.278973 1025.281132 2801.262164 11675.819641
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 74.054271 124.522503 220.703794 441.162976 1024.011374 2892.841013 12876.892062
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 70.955644 120.416944 215.939598 438.914783 1044.447033 3069.021444 14793.685316
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 66.221721 112.914520 203.707176 417.642622 1006.785342 3020.413746 15199.120272
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 65.629037 113.362055 207.935735 436.663557 1091.622503 3474.835727 19847.840628
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 65.559857 114.816859 214.393220 462.114178 1202.579669 4093.879880 27200.308667